shillllihs
6,101 posts
msg #140483
- Ignore shillllihs |
12/29/2017 3:08:36 PM
10 contracts Jnug puts Jan19 $13 for .09
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15minofPham
171 posts
msg #140489
- Ignore 15minofPham |
12/29/2017 10:41:26 PM
The UNG Calls are not bad. I almost pulled the trigger yesterday myself. The daily cloud offers resistance at $6.26. If it can climb above the cloud, then it should test $6.63 resistance. Next week's option volume suggest it should come close to $6.50, it not higher. Good luck!
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15minofPham
171 posts
msg #140490
- Ignore 15minofPham |
12/29/2017 11:03:57 PM
Big Option Volume Trade of the Day - MAR (Again!)
I don't recall big plays on three consecutive days on a non tech stock, much less a hotel stock! Clearly this investor knows something as they snapped up another 11,167 of the MAR 4/20/18 135 Calls at $7.80. Stock was $135.68 at time of purchase. This puts the total three day premium over $20 million! Interestingly this buy was made about five minutes before close. Break even is $142.80.
Seasonality over the past five years show January winning pct of 50% with an avg gain of 2.4%. Feb though is its best month of the year with a 83% win rate & 6.4% avg gain. I'm thinking this investor will hold through earnings in mid February.
Disclaimer: I'm not in it yet. I'm hoping it can fall down to the daily 8 EMA which is $134.41, but I have a feeling I may not have the luxury. I will jump in on Tuesday on any strength.
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shillllihs
6,101 posts
msg #140579
- Ignore shillllihs |
1/2/2018 1:23:05 AM
I think this Ung play may be up today. Should I close it out pros?
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15minofPham
171 posts
msg #140587
- Ignore 15minofPham |
1/2/2018 9:38:09 AM
Shils,
Not sure where you're at with your profits, but if it's over 50% certainly something to think about since these are weeklies. Or you can see if it reaches the daily cloud which is around $6.20. Great job on the win!
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mahkoh
1,065 posts
msg #140599
- Ignore mahkoh
modified |
1/2/2018 3:15:46 PM
TWX in play again today ( 91.86) 30000 Jul 95 calls bought and selling the 105 call and 82.5 put. The trader has to pay $ 135 net per contract for the trade.
BABA (181.05) spread, 10000 Feb 185 puts bought while simultaneously the same number of Feb 185 calls sold. Short term bearish bet as the net cost of the trade is $ 350 per set of contracts.
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15minofPham
171 posts
msg #140611
- Ignore 15minofPham |
1/2/2018 10:25:56 PM
Interesting that neither TWX or MAR have moved yet. Goes to show even the big players have to wait.
Big Option Volume Play of the Day - XLP
Not a lot of straight Calls today, but an investor thinks they'll be a lot more weakness in XLP as they spent $1.3 million on 10,559 3/16/18 57 Puts for $1.28 when the underlying was at $56.78. Break even is $55.72 which would make XLP fall below the daily 21 EMA. Its has had a nice two months holiday run in Nov & Dec, but Jan has seen a negligible 0.2% gain over the past five years. It's odd that they went out to the Mar Puts as Feb is its best month of the year as it's on an 8 year Feb winning streak with an avg gain of 3.3%.
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15minofPham
171 posts
msg #140645
- Ignore 15minofPham |
1/3/2018 11:26:21 PM
Big Option Volume Play of the Day - FCAU
It's always interesting to see big players trying to be sneaky when they buy small lots over and over and over and over. That's what happened today when an investor(s) kept buying lots of 100-250 of the 6/15/18 22-24 strikes. Underlying price was between $18.70-$19. When all was said & done, it added up to 26 times its 90-day option volume. Its total option Calls vs Puts volume today was 97-3. The volume at the 22 strike was 12.6K. 23 was 10.5K, and 24 was 10.7K.
What's interesting that FCAU reports earnings on 1/25, but clearly this investor(s) thinks it's either going to be a beat or they're willing to wait it out until June if it hits a speed bump. Break even ranges from $22.80 to $24.40. FCAU has been on an uptrend since July and based on these bullish Calls, it's safe to say the drive will last at least through June.
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15minofPham
171 posts
msg #140663
- Ignore 15minofPham |
1/4/2018 10:54:04 PM
Yesterday's spotlight FCAU. The move rarely happens right away after a big buy, but when it does you can nearly double your money overnight. Such was the case with FCAU as it gained 7.61% today catapulting yesterdays 6/15/18 22 strike options 92%, 23 98.5% and 24 100%. The buying wasn't done today as bulls piled more Calls on the three aforementioned strikes. Options volume ran 14 times its 90 day average.
Big Option Volume Play of the Day - MANH
MANH options volume today ran 107 times its 90 day average, the largest I've seen that didn't involve only Spreads. Just like FCAU yesterday, investors kept gobbling up small 100 lots of the 1/19/18 & 2/16/18 55 Calls with shares ranging from $50-$51. The Jan were purchased between .15-.40 while Feb was between .60-$1.60. Break even for Jan ranges between $55.15-$55.40 while Feb between $55.60-$56.60.
Total Calls volume at the Jan strike was 2.13K while Feb was 10.4K. MANH reports earnings somewhere between the last week of Jan & first week of Feb so price needs to move quick so the Feb Calls can be sold as it won't have time to recover if it plunges. This would be a good play for those of you who's looking for at least a double in less than a month.
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lavapit315
47 posts
msg #140687
- Ignore lavapit315 |
1/6/2018 4:51:49 AM
Here are a couple to look at and express your opinions.
FDC - Just broke through resistance at $16.75
IPG - Lots of Calls being bought
Thanks
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