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BoCap
18 posts
msg #141951
Ignore BoCap
2/6/2018 11:26:52 AM

it is now 11:20

I spotted STZ with 2 big quantity orders , 1 at 9:43am and 2nd is at 10:14am. Both of them at the same strike and expiry date. it's a total of 2.9 million.
What i'm seeing is how come the bid and ask spread is so widely apart ? Buying now is at 4.30 and selling is 3.10 ???
As of this moment the bid price is creeping up to 3.50 and ask at 4.00 ?? Any explanation ? and should i get in on this ?

15minofPham
171 posts
msg #141957
Ignore 15minofPham
2/6/2018 12:31:24 PM

Bo,
Looks like the 4000 4/20/18 240 Call $4.00 is the one to follow. That's a pretty aggressive buy considering the weakness of the market. It's now at $3.50. Might be a good time to piggy back on it since the price is lower.

HTH

BoCap
18 posts
msg #141979
Ignore BoCap
modified
2/6/2018 9:44:35 PM

Yes, but both of them are the same option with the same expiry and strikes, Its just they are 20 mins apart .. i would think they both are from the same institute or at least the same fat cat.

So what did you mean when you're saying i should piggy back on the 4000 ( quantity ) ??? I'm sorry i'm lost...

BTW you are Vietnamese right ?

15minofPham
171 posts
msg #141980
Ignore 15minofPham
2/7/2018 12:24:43 AM

Follow the Money Play of the Day - CAT

Premium of $3 million on 3,325 of the 5/18/18 $155 Call for $9.05 with stock at $152.70. The big cat was climbing non stop until it hit the big pull back branch. As cats do it landed on its feet or in this case the daily 100 MA. Today's +3.53% allowed it to climb back above the 50 MA. Break even of $164.05 is 4.88% from today's close of $156.41. Total option volume Call/Put ratio was 73-27 and bullish order sentiment was 66%, slightly higher than its 30-day average of 61%.
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Monday's spotlight - INTC, $8.5 million, 40,000, 6/15/18 $48 Call $2.14, Stock $46.53

Showed a nice hammer at the 100 MA, but option dropped to -27%.
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Sold MANH due to earnings tonight for a loss of -28%. Portfolio's record now is 13-6. Market needs to have a sustained rally as both AAL & SQ are above -40%, less than 10% away from our -50% stop loss.

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DISCLAIMER: This is a paper trading portfolio. It is an experiment in detailing following of "smart" money.

15minofPham
171 posts
msg #141981
Ignore 15minofPham
2/7/2018 12:28:51 AM

After doing further research it looks like these are two separate big buys. Not sure if MC corrected the time on the second purchase, but it now shows 10:44, not 10:14. Piggy back means copy the big player's buy. Yes, I am Vietnamese. :-)

BoCap
10 posts
msg #141979
- Remove message
modified 2/6/2018 9:44:35 PM

Yes, but both of them are the same option with the same expiry and strikes, Its just they are 20 mins apart .. i would think they both are from the same institute or at least the same fat cat.

So what did you mean when you're saying i should piggy back on the 4000 ( quantity ) ??? I'm sorry i'm lost...

BTW you are Vietnamese right ?


15minofPham
171 posts
msg #142014
Ignore 15minofPham
2/8/2018 1:19:34 AM

Follow the Money Play of the Day - EEM

Premium of $11.9 million on 53,321 of the 6/15/18 $49 Call for $2.24 with stock at $48.33. Daily chart shows trying to reclaim 50 MA. I wouldn't jump in until it does. Total option volume Call/Put ratio was 36-64 and bullish order sentiment was 62%, higher than its 30-day average of 52%.
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Tuesday's spotlight - CAT, $3 million, 3,325, 5/18/18 $155 Call $9.05, Stock $152.70

Par for the course as it couldn't have a follow through day as it dropped -1.32%.
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Today was the first day where the portfolio had two losses. Sold MLCO due to earnings for a loss of -50.77% and S hit our -50% stop loss. Amazing that S Put didn't work out in this weak tape. Portfolio's record now is 13-8.

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15minofPham
171 posts
msg #142064
Ignore 15minofPham
2/8/2018 11:39:36 PM

Follow the Money Play of the Day - MSFT

Premium of $2.5 million on 9,067 of the 2/16/18 $85 Call for $2.77 with stock at $86.69. This aggressive play was purchased seven minutes before the closing bell. Calls have been eviscerated during this carnage so for this investor to buy next week's expiration indicate they might know something? Break even of $87.77 is 3.25% above closing price of $85.01 and would put it back above the daily 50 MA. Total option volume Call/Put ratio was 65-35 and bullish order sentiment was 57%, lower than its 30-day average of 66%.
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Wednesday's spotlight - EEM, $11.9 million, 53,321, 6/15/18 $49 Call $2.24, Stock $48.33

Cratered along with everyone else -3.47%, putting the option at -10%.
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Today's retest of the lows claimed three more casualties - AAL, TSM and SQ as all hit the -50% stop loss. Portfolio's record now is 13-11. This is a great example showing when the market sinks, it sinks all ships, from a tiny row boat to a massive tanker. Doesn't matter if you're a poor retail trader or a fat cat hedge fund manager. EVERYONE feels the pain!

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15minofPham
171 posts
msg #142101
Ignore 15minofPham
2/9/2018 11:19:11 PM

Follow the Money Play of the Day - SPY

Premium of $3.8 million on 14,965 of the 2/23/18 $265 Call for $2.59 with stock at $257.74. Another aggressive play purchased within the last hour. Smart money thinks the test of the daily Mendoza Line should satiate bears' appetite for now? Break even of $267.59 is 2.33% above closing price of $261.50. Total option volume Call/Put ratio was 39-61 and bullish order sentiment was 42%, in line with its 30-day average of 44%.
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Thursday's spotlight - MSFT, $2.5 million, 9,067, 2/16/18 $85 Call $2.77, Stock $86.69

Went as low as $1.60 before rebounding big with the market. Premium is now up 26%. Should be able to hit 100% if market continues the rally.
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The late day rally saved the portfolio from further losses. If market recovers over the next two weeks, we should see the win pct back above 60.

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15minofPham
171 posts
msg #142165
Ignore 15minofPham
2/12/2018 10:17:26 PM

Follow the Money Play of the Day - SPB

Premium of $1.6 million as part of spread on 3,750 of the 3/16/18 $105 Call for $4.20 with stock at $103.40. Smart money was relatively quiet today. Maybe waiting to see how strong this dead cat bounce is? SPB is now at support and getting to the break even of $109.20 shouldn't be too hard if the market co-operates. Total option volume Call/Put ratio was an astounding 100-0 and bullish order sentiment was 74%, doubled its 30-day average of 31%.
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Friday's spotlight - SPY, $3.8 million, 14,965, 2/23/18 $265 Call $2.59, Stock $257.74

Had a strong day until big fade last hour. Nevertheless, premium hit our first target of +50% in only one day which assured a win since the trailing stop is set at +50%.
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Not all stocks have participated in this two day rally as was the case of CMCSA. It hit the -50% stop loss to give the portfolio its twelfth loss. Smart money is having a hard time getting out of this slump. A bright spot is MSFT who is now at +61%. This assured a win as the trailing stop is set at +50%.

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mahkoh
1,065 posts
msg #142198
Ignore mahkoh
2/13/2018 6:25:31 PM

WDAY June 105 calls bought: 10K contracts (17 mln dollar bet) with the stock at 115.41

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