| StockFetcher Forums · Stock Picks and Trading · Follow The Money (Options) | << 1 ... 24 25 26 27 28 ... 31 >>Post Follow-up |
| 15minofPham 171 posts msg #142564 - Ignore 15minofPham |
3/3/2018 12:51:34 AM Follow the Money Play of the Day - WYNN Premium of $5.8 million on an aggregate of 6,477 of the 5/18/18 $170 Call for an average of $9.47 with stock at an average of $160.48. Smart money thinks Steve Wynn's problems are in the past and today's purchases occurred with WYNN at the 100 DMA. Total option volume Call/Put ratio was 64-36 and bullish order sentiment was 67%, above its 30-day average of 57%. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Wednesday's spotlight - AMD, $6.3 million, 110,242 4/11/18 $11 Put for $0.60, Stock $58.58 Recovered from the initial 30-minute gap down which made the Put go slightly in the red. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ A hit the final profit target of +100%. CAT, on the other hand, fell hard for a fourth consecutive day and is in serious jeopardy of hitting the -50% stop loss. Amazingly SINA saved itself from the same fate, for now. 
The purpose of this paper trading portfolio is to find out if following the big money plays, aka smart money is truly smart. Rules: 1) Picks are based on one big purchase or multiples of purchases adding to a large premium 2) Prices are end of day except if below event occurs intraday 3) Gain: Sell at +100%. The purpose is to see how many plays can double. If price climbs above 50 & 75 pct target then threaten to fall below intraday, then sell kicks in. Example: X stock started the day at +93% but then falls to +75% intraday, stock would be sold at +75% 4) Loss: Sell at -50% 5) Sell before earnings |
| mahkoh 1,065 posts msg #142592 - Ignore mahkoh |
3/5/2018 2:55:38 PM 4275 WYNN May 18 175 calls bought for a total premium of $ 2.8 mln. The stock was at 161.79 during the trade and has already moved up 2.5 % since. Earnings are due Apr 24. |
| 15minofPham 171 posts msg #142597 - Ignore 15minofPham |
3/5/2018 10:40:05 PM Follow the Money Play of the Day - WYNN Premium of $3 million on aggregate buys of 4,478 of the 5/18/18 $175 Call for an average of $6.84 with stock at an average of $162.02. For the second day in a row smart money thinks Wynn will be a win as they loaded up again, this time at the 175 strike even though big day in the market didn't translate into a bigger move. Breakeven of $181.84 will bring it past the February 7 high. Total option volume Call/Put ratio was again 64-36 and bullish order sentiment was 78%, well above its 30-day average of 54%. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Friday's spotlight - WYNN, $5.8 million, 6,477 5/18/18 $170 Call for $9.47, Stock $160.48 Call hasn't moved much as it stands at +7.18% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ CARS is reporting earnings tomorrow morning so it was sold at a loss of -21.88%. This also closes out the picks for January. The win-loss record ended at 13-12 after a big run. Profits for the month though was $7,032.69 so not bad for one month's work. A reminder real profits would've been much higher but for record keeping uniformity, everything is sold at +100%. 
The purpose of this paper trading portfolio is to find out if following the big money plays, aka smart money is truly smart. Rules: 1) Picks are based on one big purchase or multiples of purchases adding to a large premium 2) Prices are end of day except if below event occurs intraday 3) Gain: Sell at +100%. The purpose is to see how many plays can double. If price climbs above 50 & 75 pct target then threaten to fall below intraday, then sell kicks in. Example: X stock started the day at +93% but then falls to +75% intraday, stock would be sold at +75% 4) Loss: Sell at -50% 5) Sell before earnings |
| four 5,087 posts msg #142626 - Ignore four modified |
3/6/2018 9:07:18 PM So, Delaney offers recommendations from his colleague, Katherine Fogertey, a Goldman options strategist. Fogertey suggests you buy Micron 23-March $53 and $56 call spread, which would pay out $1.06. According to Fogertey, “investors who would like to express a bullish view into earnings but would like to have limited downside risks can buy call spreads instead of shares into earnings." "Call spread buyers risk losing net premium paid if shares close below the lower strike price at expiration and cap their upside participation if shares trade to the upper call strike or higher by that same period." Micron stock today is up $1.98, or 3.8%, at $54.02. == https://www.barrons.com/articles/micron-if-youre-nervous-goldman-has-an-options-plan-for-you-1520366268?mod=hp_RTA& == http://www.theoptionsguide.com/bull-call-spread.aspx == https://www.optionsplaybook.com/option-strategies/long-call-spread/ == https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/bull-call-spread == http://www.cboe.com/strategies/product-specific-strategies/spx/spx-bull-call-spreads-strategy/part3 == https://www.optionseducation.org/strategies_advanced_concepts/strategies/bull_call_spread.html?prt=mx |
| 15minofPham 171 posts msg #142628 - Ignore 15minofPham |
3/6/2018 11:12:27 PM Who needs Google when you have Four. From now on I'm going to ask, "Have you Four it?" lol |
| 15minofPham 171 posts msg #142629 - Ignore 15minofPham |
3/6/2018 11:47:09 PM Follow the Money Play of the Day - HPQ & AMAT NOTE: Due to Gary Cohn's resignation, the futures are bleeding red right now. We'll have to see if the market can recover. If not, these two will feel the pain! We have a two for one today. HPQ: Premium of $2.4 million on aggregate buys of 11,484 of the 3/29/18 $22 Call for an average of $2.17 with stock at an average of $24.03. It's at resistance on the daily and smart money thinks it's going to punch through it. Weekly is showing bullish MACD cross-over. Total option volume Call/Put ratio was 94-6 and bullish order sentiment was 94%, well above its 30-day average of 63%. AMAT: Premium of $2.4 million on aggregate buys of 8,080 of the 4/20/18 $60 Call for an average of $2.64 with stock at an average of $63.01. It too is at resistance on the daily and hoping the third time is the charm in breaking through $60. Just like HPQ, it had a weekly bullish MACD cross-over too. Total option volume Call/Put ratio was 82-18 and bullish order sentiment was 94%, well above its 30-day average of 69%. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Monday's spotlight - WYNN, $3 million, 4,478 5/18/18 $175 Call for $6.84, Stock $162.02 Another small move but the Call's gain is now at 29% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ AMD 4/20/18 11 Put hit both the 50% & 75% target in six trading days. It should hit the final 100% target during tomorrow's morning bloodbath. The Calls, on the other hand, will hope the damages won't be irreparable. 
The purpose of this paper trading portfolio is to find out if following the big money plays, aka smart money is truly smart. Rules: 1) Picks are based on one big purchase or multiples of purchases adding to a large premium 2) Prices are end of day except if below event occurs intraday 3) Gain: Sell at +100%. The purpose is to see how many plays can double. If price climbs above 50 & 75 pct target then threaten to fall below intraday, then sell kicks in. Example: X stock started the day at +93% but then falls to +75% intraday, stock would be sold at +75% 4) Loss: Sell at -50% 5) Sell before earnings |
| BoCap 18 posts msg #142643 - Ignore BoCap |
3/7/2018 3:29:41 PM Hello Pham, Do you mind if i can contact you by email Or text ? I'd like to ask you a few questions ... I'm Viet also.. :) |
| 15minofPham 171 posts msg #142653 - Ignore 15minofPham |
3/8/2018 12:03:55 AM Hi Bo, Not at all. I think you still have my email? If so, email me your questions and I'll do my best to help you. |
| 15minofPham 171 posts msg #142654 - Ignore 15minofPham |
3/8/2018 12:21:11 AM Follow the Money Play of the Day - CRC Premium of $1.2 million on a buy of 10,000 of the 5/18/18 $16 Call for $1.20 with stock at $13.63. This aggressive buy is that the daily Mendoza Line, usually a good risk-reward play. Breakeven of $17.20 would bring it back to the daily 21 EMA which should be very doable given the 9 weeks time frame. Total option volume Call/Put ratio was 97-3 and bullish order sentiment was an almost perfect 99%, easily above its 30-day average of 73%. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Tuesday's spotlight - HPQ, $2.4 million, 11,484 3/29/18 $22 Call for $2.17, Stock $24.03 AMAT, $2.4 million, 8,080 4/20/18 $60 Call for $2.64, Stock $63.01 A nice recovery from the gap down saved these two from finishing in the red. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ As expected the opening gap down helped AMD 4/20/18 11 Put hit the final 100% target. However, the 4/11/18 11 Put is in danger as its sentiment has flipped from bearish to bullish. IWM Put looks like to be a loss if it climbs above the daily cloud. 
The purpose of this paper trading portfolio is to find out if following the big money plays, aka smart money is truly smart. Rules: 1) Picks are based on one big purchase or multiples of purchases adding to a large premium 2) Prices are end of day except if below event occurs intraday 3) Gain: Sell at +100%. The purpose is to see how many plays can double. If price climbs above 50 & 75 pct target then threaten to fall below intraday, then sell kicks in. Example: X stock started the day at +93% but then falls to +75% intraday, stock would be sold at +75% 4) Loss: Sell at -50% 5) Sell before earnings |
| shillllihs 6,101 posts msg #142655 - Ignore shillllihs |
3/8/2018 1:24:50 AM I think the returns are fair, but one would seemingly have to be an acrobat and use exceptional form to achieve these results with all the rules and to get the right price but I may be wrong. It kind of reminds me of those acts you used to see in the 70s with the guy spinning all the plates at once. |
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